<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<term>
  <id>10110</id>
  <title>root mean squared error of prediction</title>
  <longtitle>IUPAC Gold Book - root mean squared error of prediction</longtitle>
  <doi>10.1351/goldbook.10110</doi>
  <code>10110</code>
  <status>current</status>
  <initialism><em>initialisms</em>: RMSEP, RMSPE, SEP</initialism>
  <synonym><em>synonyms</em>: root mean squared error of estimation, standard error of estimation, standard error of prediction</synonym>
  <definitions>
    <item>
      <id>1</id>
      <text>In multivariate calibration or classification for \(N\) evaluation data where \(c_{i}\) is an observed value and \(\hat c_{i}\) is the predicted value \[E_{\rm{RMSEP}} = \sqrt {\frac{\sum\limits_{i\,=\,1}^{i\,=\,N} (\hat c_{i}\,-\,c_{i})^2}{N}}\]</text>
      <notes>
        <item>RMSEP is related to the prediction error sum of squares (PRESS) by \(E_{\rm{RMSEP}} = \sqrt \frac{E_{\rm{PRESS}}}{N}\) .</item>
        <item>For completely independent, normally distributed evaluation data, RMSEP is a measure of the bias of the calibration.</item>
        <item>When prediction is by cross validation RMSEP may be termed root mean square error of cross validation.</item>
      </notes>
      <links>
        <item>
          <term>evaluation data</term>
          <url>https://goldbook.iupac.org//terms/view/10050</url>
        </item>
        <item>
          <term>multivariate calibration</term>
          <url>https://goldbook.iupac.org//terms/view/10153</url>
        </item>
      </links>
      <sources>
        <item>PAC, 2016, 88, 407. 'Vocabulary of concepts and terms in chemometrics (IUPAC Recommendations 2016)' on page 424 (https://doi.org/10.1515/pac-2015-0605)</item>
      </sources>
    </item>
  </definitions>
  <altoutputs>
    <html>https://goldbook.iupac.org/terms/view/10110/html</html>
    <json>https://goldbook.iupac.org/terms/view/10110/json</json>
    <plain>https://goldbook.iupac.org/terms/view/10110/plain</plain>
  </altoutputs>
  <citation>Citation: 'root mean squared error of prediction' in IUPAC Compendium of Chemical Terminology, 5th ed. International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry; 2025. Online version 5.0.0, 2025. 10.1351/goldbook.10110</citation>
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  <disclaimer>The International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry (IUPAC) is continuously reviewing and, where needed, updating terms in the Compendium of Chemical Terminology (the IUPAC Gold Book). Users of these terms are encouraged to include the version of a term with its use and to check regularly for updates to term definitions that you are using.</disclaimer>
  <accessed>2026-04-19T00:32:01+00:00</accessed>
</term>
